This week, we’ve got a Fight Pass card in Singapore. Since it’s in Singapore, we must wake up at 4:30am ET to see it live. I have already set the alarm and that I will be up prepared to sweat these early struggles. DraftKings does not have many large tournaments this week so I will personally be playing more money games and less GPPs. I will still have 3 GPP lineups but a lot of my investment that this week will probably be in money games. But, there is still money to be won so here are a few plays I enjoy and my fade of this week:
Money Game play of this week — Stack, Leon Edwards ($8,600) AND Donald Cerrone ($7,600)
Donald”Cowboy” Cerrone is not in a dull fight. Whether he wins or loses, his struggles generally score as a whole and also the winner nearly always pays off their price tag in DraftKings. I typically search for at least 100 total points if I stack a struggle in money and I think for this being a probable 5-rounds, it should assess well more than that. If Edwards win this fight, it is probably an early KO, and if that happens he’ll score very high. If Cerrone wins, then he can lock up a submission or a knockout which will readily 10x his cost of $7.6k. However, either way, you’ve got the winner in your lineup along with the guaranteed 30-90 win bonus points if you do pile. I think this battle will be fun so long as it continues and there should be a good number of points added up until one of these two get finished. When it does go 5 rounds, then these two should still get over 100 total points with the pace Cowboy brings to the table.
GPP play of the week — Li Jingliang ($9,200)
Li Jingliang constantly puts on a series when he measures in the Octagon. He’s a quick pace fighter that scores very well on DraftKings when he wins. I think he should be the better fighter wherever this struggle ends up against Abe. In addition, I believe he could complete this fight on the feet or the floor and if this happens he’d probably pay off his high price tag of $9.2k. He’s the 3rd most expensive fighter on the card and I think he has the maximum ceiling. That is what we desire in GPPs is a ceiling, so that’s why Jingliang is my GPP play of the week.
Underdog play of this week — Song Yadong ($7,900)
Song Yadong is my favourite DraftKings”underdog” this week. His gambling line has changed to him being a slight favorite at -120 however he is $400 cheaper than his opponent. I think saving that $400 is a good move in cash or GPP games therefore that I like Yadong in most formats. I believe Yadong will seem to keep this fight on the toes and search for that KO win. If he does get the win, then ” I think he should easily pay off that cost and get at least 10x.
Fade of the week — Viviane Pereira ($8,800)
My primary issue with Pereira is that she is too pricey. At $8.8k, I need at least 88 points from her and I think she needs get an end to do that. I really don’t see that happening and neither does Vegas using a +617 ITD line. She doesn’t strike at a high enough pace or territory enough takedowns to score 88 points in my personal opinion. In her two UFC wins she held her opponent against the fence for a fantastic section of the fight and no issues have been scored when that occurs. If she does this again , there’s absolutely no way she even comes near 88 points in spite of a win. I will have a full fade on Pereira this week and that I will pay up for other favorites instead.
If you would like my full-card DraftKings breakdown using investigation on every fight, my private approaches & suggestions, and also my selection prediction for every fight then you can find that beneath the Premium Picks tab on MMAoddsbreaker should you click on Upcoming Picks. Or you can just go to this link below:
https://mmaoddsbreaker.com/mmaob-premium/upcoming-picks

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